Friburguense vs Madureira RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
31.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Friburguense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
OLA
1 - 2
FRI
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
FRI
0 - 1
FLA
14%
21%
65%
|
51 | 79 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
MAC
3 - 1
FRI
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
FRI
0 - 0
RES
41%
24%
35%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
NOV
2 - 1
FRI
36%
25%
39%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Madureira RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
MAD
3 - 1
BOA
29%
23%
48%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
MAD
0 - 1
BAN
48%
24%
28%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
MAD
0 - 2
CRI
26%
24%
50%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
VAS
3 - 0
MAD
83%
12%
5%
|
52 | 82 | 30 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
MAD
2 - 1
AME
54%
23%
23%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |