Fribourg vs Farvagny / Ogoz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
19.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fribourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
DUD
2 - 1
FRI
58%
21%
22%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
FRI
9 - 2
FCS
72%
15%
13%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ROM
2 - 2
FRI
25%
23%
52%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
FRI
1 - 1
FCS
86%
9%
5%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
SIE
1 - 4
FRI
25%
23%
52%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Farvagny / Ogoz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
FAR
2 - 1
FCP
53%
22%
25%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
STA
0 - 0
FAR
42%
24%
34%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
FAR
1 - 2
FCC
36%
23%
41%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
NEX
1 - 1
FAR
69%
17%
14%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
FAR
1 - 2
TPA
27%
23%
49%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |