Fribourg vs Romontois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
53.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
14º
16º
15º
43
5º
15º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
84.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
28% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 44 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
64.5% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 40 |
11º
|
82% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 36 |
12º
|
91% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
13º
|
80% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
14º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
8 | 20 |
15º
|
53% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 14 |
16º
|
77.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
10% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
90% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fribourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
FCC
3 - 1
FRI
78%
14%
9%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
FRI
6 - 3
MAT
71%
15%
14%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ROM
3 - 1
FRI
48%
22%
30%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FRI
1 - 2
BBB
20%
19%
62%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
FCA
5 - 0
FRI
69%
17%
14%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Romontois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
ROM
3 - 0
DUD
59%
19%
22%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
TAV
0 - 3
ROM
50%
22%
28%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
ROM
1 - 4
LAU
15%
18%
67%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
FCS
2 - 3
ROM
33%
22%
46%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
ROM
2 - 0
FCC
26%
21%
54%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +3 |