Frem 1886 vs Herlev analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
19.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frem 1886
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
SVE
0 - 3
FRE
39%
23%
37%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
FRE
0 - 1
BAL
74%
16%
10%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | -2 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
BOL
0 - 3
FRE
14%
19%
67%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
FRE
1 - 2
SKO
72%
17%
11%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
FRE
2 - 5
FRE
17%
21%
62%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Herlev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
HER
4 - 0
NBB
60%
21%
19%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
AVA
2 - 0
HER
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
VAN
1 - 3
HER
43%
24%
33%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
HER
1 - 3
HVI
30%
24%
46%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2012 |
SKJ
2 - 3
HER
44%
24%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |