Freienbach vs Collina d'Oro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
30.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+48%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
8º
16º
12º
48
6º
16º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freienbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
STG
3 - 3
FRE
85%
10%
5%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
FRE
3 - 2
UZW
42%
22%
36%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
TAV
3 - 0
FRE
42%
25%
33%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
FRE
4 - 0
SVS
28%
23%
49%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +4 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
KOS
2 - 0
FRE
59%
21%
21%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Collina d'Oro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
FCC
1 - 0
KOS
49%
24%
27%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
WIN
3 - 1
FCC
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
UZW
0 - 2
FCC
34%
24%
42%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
FCC
3 - 1
LIN
41%
24%
36%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
KRE
1 - 0
FCC
66%
19%
15%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |