Freiburger FC vs SG Sonnenhof Großaspach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
65.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
13º
18º
18º
69
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
84 | 84 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
37 | 37 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
18 | 18 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiburger FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
REU
1 - 2
FRE
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FRE
0 - 4
GOP
24%
23%
53%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
1FC
0 - 1
FRE
77%
14%
9%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FRE
0 - 0
OFF
52%
22%
26%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
NEC
1 - 0
FRE
61%
21%
18%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
SGS
0 - 3
SVS
20%
22%
58%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SGS
2 - 0
VIL
74%
16%
10%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
REU
0 - 1
SGS
25%
22%
53%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SGS
2 - 0
GOP
60%
20%
20%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
1FC
4 - 2
SGS
17%
19%
64%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | -2 |