Freiburger FC vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
18.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiburger FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1991 |
FRE
1 - 6
STU
20%
22%
58%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1991 |
FRE
1 - 0
RWH
86%
9%
5%
|
62 | 18 | 44 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1991 |
FRE
3 - 2
KSC
83%
10%
6%
|
62 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1991 |
FRE
3 - 1
CHE
29%
25%
46%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 1982 |
RWL
2 - 1
FRE
42%
23%
36%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1992 |
M05
1 - 2
WAL
51%
26%
24%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1992 |
CZJ
3 - 1
M05
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1992 |
M05
1 - 0
FCR
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1992 |
CHE
2 - 1
M05
42%
28%
30%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1992 |
M05
2 - 1
WOL
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |