Freiburger FC vs FSV Hollenbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
37.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
13º
18º
18º
48
6º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
84 | 84 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
37 | 37 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
18 | 18 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiburger FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ATS
2 - 1
FRE
80%
12%
7%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
FRE
2 - 2
RAV
16%
19%
65%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
OBE
4 - 1
FRE
67%
18%
15%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FRE
0 - 4
PFO
45%
24%
31%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
TSB
4 - 2
FRE
71%
17%
13%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
FSV Hollenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FSV
1 - 5
SVS
9%
14%
78%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
SGS
1 - 0
FSV
79%
13%
8%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FSV
1 - 0
REU
39%
22%
39%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
GOP
3 - 0
FSV
60%
19%
20%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
FSV
4 - 0
1FC
46%
22%
32%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +2 |