Freiburger FC vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
20.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiburger FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1981 |
WAL
2 - 1
FRE
53%
23%
25%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1981 |
FRE
1 - 1
AAA
61%
22%
18%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1981 |
S04
3 - 3
FRE
62%
20%
18%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1981 |
FRE
4 - 0
WOL
87%
8%
5%
|
69 | 24 | 45 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1981 |
USO
5 - 2
FRE
48%
24%
29%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1981 |
BAY
4 - 0
USO
61%
22%
18%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1981 |
OSN
3 - 0
BAY
55%
22%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1981 |
BAY
2 - 3
MUN
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1981 |
BAY
3 - 1
KFC
44%
22%
34%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1981 |
OFC
2 - 1
BAY
72%
16%
12%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |