Bundesliga U19 South / South West Round 17

Freiburg U19 vs Mainz 05 U19 analysis

Freiburg U19 Mainz 05 U19
19 ELO 25
6.9% Tilt -2.4%
9574º General ELO ranking 7951º
467º Country ELO ranking 397º
ELO win probability
32.9%
Freiburg U19
22.4%
Draw
44.7%
Mainz 05 U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.9%
Win probability
Freiburg U19
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
44.7%
Win probability
Mainz 05 U19
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Freiburg U19
-17%
-14%
Mainz 05 U19

ELO progression

Freiburg U19
Mainz 05 U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Freiburg U19
Freiburg U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Feb. 2019
FRA
Eintracht Frankfurt U19
3 - 2
Freiburg U19
FRE
31%
24%
45%
20 17 3 0
03 Feb. 2019
FRE
Freiburg U19
3 - 1
Karlsruher SC U19
KAR
54%
21%
25%
20 20 0 0
09 Dec. 2018
HEI
Heidenheim U19
1 - 1
Freiburg U19
FRE
44%
22%
34%
20 19 1 0
01 Dec. 2018
AUG
FC Augsburg U19
2 - 4
Freiburg U19
FRE
53%
23%
24%
19 21 2 +1
25 Nov. 2018
FRE
Freiburg U19
3 - 1
Stuttgarter Kickers U19
STU
80%
13%
7%
19 13 6 0

Matches

Mainz 05 U19
Mainz 05 U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Feb. 2019
MAI
Mainz 05 U19
1 - 0
Kaiserslautern U19
KAI
70%
17%
14%
24 18 6 0
08 Dec. 2018
MAI
Mainz 05 U19
3 - 2
Ingolstadt U19
ING
68%
17%
15%
23 20 3 +1
02 Dec. 2018
MAI
Mainz 05 U19
2 - 2
Bayern München U19
BYM
31%
23%
46%
23 30 7 0
24 Nov. 2018
HOF
Hoffenheim U19
0 - 2
Mainz 05 U19
MAI
81%
12%
7%
22 33 11 +1
10 Nov. 2018
FRA
Eintracht Frankfurt U19
0 - 1
Mainz 05 U19
MAI
29%
23%
48%
22 18 4 0