Bundesliga U19 South/South West Round 3

Freiburg U19 vs Mainz 05 U19 analysis

Freiburg U19 Mainz 05 U19
40 ELO 36
4.6% Tilt 1.6%
10391º General ELO ranking 8575º
494º Country ELO ranking 420º
ELO win probability
49.6%
Freiburg U19
22.7%
Draw
27.7%
Mainz 05 U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
Freiburg U19
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
27.7%
Win probability
Mainz 05 U19
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Freiburg U19
-18%
+5%
Mainz 05 U19

ELO progression

Freiburg U19
Mainz 05 U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Freiburg U19
Freiburg U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Aug. 2007
STU
Stuttgarter Kickers U19
1 - 3
Freiburg U19
FRE
34%
26%
40%
38 29 9 0
19 Aug. 2007
FRE
Freiburg U19
4 - 0
Karlsruher SC U19
KAR
65%
19%
16%
37 28 9 +1
10 Jun. 2007
FRE
Freiburg U19
5 - 0
Stuttgarter Kickers U19
STU
62%
22%
17%
36 29 7 +1
03 Jun. 2007
MUN
1860 München U19
1 - 0
Freiburg U19
FRE
45%
25%
30%
37 34 3 -1
20 May. 2007
NUR
Nürnberg U19
2 - 0
Freiburg U19
FRE
25%
26%
48%
38 27 11 -1

Matches

Mainz 05 U19
Mainz 05 U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Aug. 2007
MAI
Mainz 05 U19
2 - 0
Kaiserslautern U19
KAI
55%
22%
23%
36 36 0 0
19 Aug. 2007
WBU
Wacker Burghausen U19
0 - 5
Mainz 05 U19
MAI
43%
24%
33%
35 34 1 +1
10 Jun. 2007
MAI
Mainz 05 U19
3 - 1
Karlsruher SC U19
KAR
60%
20%
20%
33 29 4 +2
03 Jun. 2007
RTL
Reutlingen U19
3 - 5
Mainz 05 U19
MAI
17%
21%
61%
33 17 16 0
05 May. 2007
STU
VfB Stuttgart U19
3 - 1
Mainz 05 U19
MAI
64%
20%
17%
33 40 7 0