Freiberg vs Villingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
12.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
BIS
1 - 2
FRE
26%
21%
53%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
LEI
1 - 8
FRE
5%
10%
85%
|
35 | 7 | 28 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
HOM
5 - 1
FRE
65%
19%
16%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
FRE
1 - 3
BAL
36%
25%
39%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
VFR
2 - 1
FRE
41%
24%
35%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Villingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
STU
6 - 1
VIL
79%
14%
7%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
FCH
0 - 2
VIL
53%
21%
26%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
VIL
4 - 1
FSV
62%
19%
19%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
FRE
3 - 3
VIL
26%
24%
50%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ATS
1 - 3
VIL
59%
20%
21%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |