Freiberg vs VfR Mannheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
8.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
AST
1 - 3
FRE
50%
24%
26%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
FRE
4 - 0
FRE
29%
27%
44%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +3 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
HEI
0 - 0
FRE
74%
16%
10%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
FRE
5 - 0
SCH
74%
16%
10%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
SGS
1 - 1
FRE
51%
23%
26%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
VfR Mannheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
VFR
0 - 1
VIL
23%
25%
53%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
HOF
3 - 1
VFR
74%
17%
9%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
VFR
0 - 1
BAH
56%
23%
21%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
STU
2 - 2
VFR
43%
25%
32%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
VFR
4 - 1
KIR
63%
21%
16%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |