Freiberg vs SSV Ulm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
57.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
VFR
2 - 0
FRE
30%
26%
45%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
FRE
2 - 0
FRE
45%
25%
30%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -2 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
FRE
0 - 0
WAL
61%
22%
17%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2007 |
ULM
4 - 1
FRE
75%
15%
10%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
FRE
1 - 1
NOT
67%
20%
13%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
SSV Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
ULM
0 - 0
WAL
85%
11%
5%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
ULM
4 - 0
FCE
90%
7%
3%
|
54 | 29 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
SGS
0 - 2
ULM
16%
21%
63%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2007 |
ULM
4 - 1
FRE
75%
15%
10%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
NOR
0 - 0
ULM
13%
20%
67%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |