Freiberg vs Spielberg analysis


26	ELO	15
4.3%	Tilt	5.1%
3930º	General ELO ranking	10612º
113º	Country ELO ranking	582º
ELO win probability

75.2%

Freiberg

15.5%

Draw

9.3%

Spielberg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

75.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%

15.5%

Draw

0-0

3.8%

1-1

7.3%

2-2

3.5%

3-3

0.7%

4-4

0.1%

0

15.5%

9.3%

Win probability

0.77

Expected goals

0-1

2.9%

1-2

2.8%

2-3

0.9%

3-4

0.1%

4-5

0%

-1

6.8%

0-2

1.1%

1-3

0.7%

2-4

0.2%

3-5

0%

-2

2%

0-3

0.3%

1-4

0.1%

2-5

0%

-3

0.4%

0-4

0.1%

1-5

0%

-4

0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+100%

+47%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Freiberg

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
15 Aug. 2009	KEH 1 - 1 FRE 31% 25% 45%	26	21	5	0
08 Aug. 2009	FRE 1 - 0 DEN 71% 17% 12%	26	17	9	0
06 Jun. 2009	FRE 2 - 0 OFF 76% 15% 9%	27	15	12	-1
30 May. 2009	CRA 3 - 2 FRE 46% 25% 30%	27	26	1	0
26 May. 2009	FRE 2 - 2 STU 39% 24% 38%	27	30	3	0