Freiberg vs Nottingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
62.6%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+77%
-66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
GOP
3 - 4
FRE
59%
20%
21%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
FRE
0 - 1
BAL
28%
24%
49%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 1
FRE
51%
22%
27%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2017 |
FRE
1 - 1
STG
4%
9%
87%
|
29 | 74 | 45 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
OBE
0 - 0
FRE
34%
24%
42%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2017 |
NOT
0 - 0
OBE
82%
12%
7%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
NOT
3 - 0
AST
89%
7%
4%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2017 |
PFO
0 - 1
NOT
11%
14%
75%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
NOT
3 - 2
NEC
66%
17%
17%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 7
NOT
26%
20%
54%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |