Freiberg vs Hoffenheim II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
28.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
PFO
2 - 3
FRE
30%
25%
44%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
FRE
1 - 1
BAH
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
STU
0 - 3
FRE
40%
26%
35%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2006 |
FRE
0 - 1
BON
61%
22%
17%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
VIL
0 - 0
FRE
34%
26%
40%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Hoffenheim II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
HOF
2 - 0
NOR
65%
20%
16%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
HEI
2 - 0
HOF
76%
15%
9%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
HOF
0 - 3
VFR
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
HOF
0 - 2
SVS
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
PFO
0 - 3
HOF
31%
26%
43%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |