Free State Stars vs TS Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
11.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
MBO
1 - 0
FRE
25%
27%
48%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
FRE
1 - 1
PRE
72%
19%
9%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
AJA
3 - 2
FRE
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
FRE
0 - 1
SUN
27%
28%
45%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
CHI
1 - 1
FRE
51%
27%
22%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
TS Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
STE
3 - 1
TSS
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
TSS
0 - 1
RIB
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
SWA
1 - 1
TSS
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
TSS
0 - 1
RKF
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
TSG
0 - 2
TSS
62%
23%
15%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +2 |