Free State Stars vs Pretoria University analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
17.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
HLF
1 - 0
FRE
36%
29%
35%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
FRE
0 - 0
AJA
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
FRE
2 - 1
TSS
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
PCF
0 - 1
FRE
29%
27%
44%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
FRE
1 - 0
VFA
52%
25%
22%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Pretoria University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
PRE
4 - 1
PCR
37%
27%
36%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
BLA
0 - 0
PRE
62%
23%
15%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
PRE
3 - 2
ALL
36%
28%
36%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
TSS
0 - 0
PRE
55%
25%
20%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
HLF
1 - 1
PRE
55%
24%
21%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |