Free State Stars vs Pretoria University analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
FRE
2 - 3
BLO
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
PIR
1 - 0
FRE
52%
28%
21%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
FRE
2 - 1
AJA
47%
26%
28%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
BID
0 - 0
FRE
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
PLS
4 - 0
FRE
39%
29%
32%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Pretoria University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
PRE
1 - 1
SUN
27%
27%
46%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
AMA
1 - 0
PRE
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
BLO
1 - 2
PRE
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
SUN
1 - 0
PRE
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
PRE
1 - 3
PIR
30%
30%
41%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |