Free State Stars vs Golden Arrows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
28.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
FRE
0 - 1
BID
39%
27%
35%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
FRE
2 - 0
BLO
38%
29%
33%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 0
FRE
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 0
FRE
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
FRE
1 - 0
PAR
38%
28%
34%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Golden Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 0
GOL
34%
26%
41%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
GOL
1 - 0
BLA
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
PIR
0 - 0
GOL
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
GOL
0 - 0
CHI
49%
27%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
GOL
0 - 1
SUN
26%
28%
46%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +1 |