Free State Stars vs Golden Arrows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
32.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
CHI
1 - 1
FRE
53%
27%
21%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2017 |
FRE
1 - 1
CHI
41%
28%
31%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
MPU
1 - 0
FRE
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
BID
4 - 2
FRE
51%
25%
25%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
FRE
1 - 1
PLS
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Golden Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
GOL
2 - 2
MPU
35%
27%
38%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2017 |
PIR
0 - 0
GOL
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2017 |
SSU
3 - 0
GOL
58%
24%
19%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
GOL
0 - 1
PIR
40%
26%
35%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
GOL
2 - 2
POL
50%
25%
24%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |