Free State Stars vs Bloemfontein Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
17.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
GOL
2 - 2
FRE
41%
29%
31%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2008 |
FRE
4 - 1
SAN
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
FRE
0 - 1
SUN
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
PIR
1 - 1
FRE
50%
27%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2007 |
FRE
0 - 2
SWA
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bloemfontein Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2008 |
AJA
3 - 1
BLO
57%
25%
18%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
SSU
1 - 0
BLO
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
BLO
1 - 1
CHI
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2007 |
COS
0 - 2
BLO
47%
28%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
BLO
1 - 1
THA
63%
21%
15%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |