Fredrikstad vs Tromsø IL analysis


83	ELO	83
-14.8%	Tilt	0.9%
419º	General ELO ranking	435º
8º	Country ELO ranking	9º
ELO win probability

38.9%

Fredrikstad

26.5%

Draw

34.6%

Tromsø IL

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

38.9%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%

26.5%

Draw

0-0

7.6%

1-1

12.6%

2-2

5.2%

3-3

1%

4-4

0.1%

0

26.5%

34.6%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-7%

+3%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

10º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

26

1º

10º

33

2º

12º

4º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

4º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	42	62	1º	44.5%
2º	42	62	2º	32%
3º	36	56	3º	41.5%
4º	33	50	4º	23.5%
5º	30	48	5º	20%
7º	28	46	6º	15%
6º	30	45	7º	15%
9º	27	44	8º	15%
8º	27	42	9º	19%
10º	26	41	10º	12.5%
12º	22	39	11º	17.5%
11º	23	37	12º	24.5%
13º	21	33	13º	30%
14º	20	31	14º	49%
15º	10	22	15º	73%
16º	5	13	16º	93%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Champion	0%	0.5%
Champions League qualifying phase	0%	5%
Europa League qualifying phase	0.5%	12.5%
Conference League knock out round	4.5%	23.5%
Mid-table	95%	58.5%
Relegation play-offs	0%	0%
Relegation	0%	0%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fredrikstad

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
22 Jun. 2025	VKG 3 - 0 FFK 55% 22% 23%	83	84	1
01 Jun. 2025	FFK 1 - 1 S08 36% 26% 38%	83	83	0
28 May. 2025	FFK 0 - 2 RBK 33% 25% 42%	83	84	1
24 May. 2025	BRY 4 - 3 FFK 25% 27% 48%	83	74	9
21 May. 2025	LSK 1 - 1 FFK 43% 25% 32%	83	80	3

Matches

Tromsø IL

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
22 Jun. 2025	HAM 1 - 3 TRO 32% 27% 42%	83	79	4	0
16 Jun. 2025	HÄC 1 - 0 TRO 49% 23% 29%	82	80	2	+1
31 May. 2025	TRO 2 - 1 VIF 40% 25% 35%	82	83	1	0
25 May. 2025	S08 0 - 1 TRO 49% 24% 27%	81	83	2	+1
16 May. 2025	TRO 2 - 1 BOG 32% 25% 43%	81	84	3	0