Francana vs Tupã analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Francana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
CAT
1 - 0
FRA
27%
22%
51%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 0
FRA
52%
23%
25%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
FRA
3 - 1
MAR
31%
27%
42%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +3 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
FRA
1 - 1
CAT
46%
23%
31%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
TUP
1 - 2
FRA
30%
24%
46%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Tupã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
TUP
0 - 1
MAR
26%
26%
48%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
CAT
1 - 2
TUP
46%
23%
31%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
TUP
2 - 0
CAT
32%
23%
46%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
MAR
4 - 0
TUP
75%
16%
9%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
TUP
1 - 2
FRA
30%
24%
46%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |