Francana vs Cotia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Francana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
RIO
4 - 2
FRA
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
FRA
2 - 2
IND
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
FRA
2 - 2
MON
29%
26%
45%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
NOR
1 - 0
FRA
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
MIR
1 - 3
FRA
74%
17%
10%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | +2 |
Matches
Cotia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 3
COT
63%
22%
15%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
COT
0 - 0
SJS
40%
24%
36%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
AGU
3 - 1
COT
77%
15%
8%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
COT
4 - 1
BEB
32%
23%
45%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +3 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
COT
0 - 0
ASS
48%
23%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |