Francana vs Botafogo SP II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
57.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Francana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
COM
0 - 0
FRA
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
FRA
1 - 0
BAR
28%
26%
46%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +2 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
FRA
63%
21%
17%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
CAT
4 - 0
FRA
38%
24%
39%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
FRA
1 - 1
CAT
36%
26%
38%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo SP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
BSP
4 - 1
COM
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 0
BSP
28%
23%
49%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
BSP
0 - 2
MON
48%
24%
29%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
BSP
1 - 1
SAO
34%
23%
44%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
SAO
2 - 1
BSP
42%
23%
35%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |