Fram vs Ørn Horten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
39%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
9º
14º
13º
33
6º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fram
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
FFC
5 - 2
FRA
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FRA
1 - 2
EGE
19%
23%
58%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
BRA
4 - 4
FRA
55%
22%
23%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
FRA
3 - 1
VAL
50%
23%
28%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FKA
2 - 0
FRA
69%
18%
13%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Ørn Horten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ORN
4 - 0
NOT
28%
23%
50%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
AAL
0 - 5
ORN
49%
23%
28%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ORN
2 - 3
TRA
58%
21%
21%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ORN
0 - 0
LYN
17%
21%
62%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
VAR
2 - 2
ORN
59%
21%
20%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |