Fram vs Nardo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
17.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fram
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
FRA
1 - 2
VAR
56%
22%
23%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
EGE
3 - 0
FRA
37%
24%
39%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
FRA
2 - 0
HON
57%
21%
22%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
BYA
2 - 4
FRA
25%
23%
52%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
FRA
3 - 1
VIN
47%
22%
32%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Nardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
NAR
2 - 1
NOT
18%
23%
59%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 1
NAR
70%
17%
12%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
NAR
1 - 1
NES
12%
20%
68%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
EGE
3 - 0
NAR
59%
22%
18%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
NAR
1 - 1
HOD
21%
23%
57%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |