Fram vs Jerv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
17.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fram
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2003 |
TOL
1 - 0
FRA
47%
23%
30%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2003 |
FRA
3 - 0
ODD
63%
20%
17%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2003 |
POR
1 - 0
FRA
55%
22%
23%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
FRA
4 - 0
KVI
43%
24%
33%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
BFC
1 - 1
FRA
32%
25%
43%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Jerv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2003 |
JER
0 - 4
RUN
43%
24%
33%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2003 |
JER
0 - 0
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
SJE
3 - 4
JER
50%
22%
28%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2003 |
JER
1 - 1
FRI
40%
24%
36%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
TOL
1 - 1
JER
57%
21%
23%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |