Fraga vs Universidad de Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
23.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fraga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2004 |
TER
3 - 4
FRA
28%
28%
45%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
FRA
3 - 1
FUE
81%
14%
5%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
UFC
1 - 2
FRA
64%
21%
15%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
FRA
1 - 2
CDE
77%
16%
7%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
FRA
6 - 1
LAF
80%
13%
7%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Universidad de Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2004 |
UNI
0 - 1
LAF
80%
13%
7%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
SAR
0 - 2
UNI
26%
25%
49%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
UNI
2 - 0
BIN
44%
24%
32%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +2 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
SAB
1 - 1
UNI
27%
24%
50%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
UNI
2 - 1
ZUE
72%
17%
11%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | +1 |