Fosses vs Ligny analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.3%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
15.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fosses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
FOS
2 - 3
FLA
70%
16%
15%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
CON
3 - 3
FOS
45%
21%
34%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
RHI
3 - 4
FOS
20%
19%
61%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
FOS
4 - 3
PRO
83%
11%
7%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
NAN
2 - 2
FOS
13%
16%
71%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Ligny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
LIG
2 - 0
ASS
70%
17%
13%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
FLA
2 - 3
LIG
55%
20%
25%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
LIG
0 - 5
GRA
27%
23%
50%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
AND
2 - 2
LIG
25%
20%
55%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
LIG
2 - 1
PES
39%
24%
37%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |