Fosses vs Ligny analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.7%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
13.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fosses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
BEA
0 - 0
FOS
22%
22%
57%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
FOS
3 - 1
CON
72%
16%
12%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
COU
5 - 0
FOS
51%
23%
26%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -3 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
FOS
5 - 1
EXC
80%
13%
7%
|
33 | 9 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Ligny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
LIG
2 - 0
PES
34%
23%
43%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
SPY
0 - 2
LIG
56%
21%
23%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
RAN
4 - 0
LIG
69%
17%
14%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
LIG
0 - 0
GRA
78%
14%
8%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
LIG
1 - 2
JEM
63%
20%
18%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |