Forward Madison vs Union Omaha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
55.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
5º
12º
9º
18
5º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
34 | 52 |
1º
|
39% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 50 |
2º
|
24% | |
|
1º
|
35 | 50 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 48 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
|
10º
|
18 | 45 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 44 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 43 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 41 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
|
11º
|
18 | 39 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 35 |
10º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 33 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 31 |
12º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 29 |
13º
|
31.5% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 27 |
14º
|
45% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
39% | 95% |
|
Mid-table
|
61% | 5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forward Madison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2025 |
FMA
1 - 1
PHP
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 20 | 40 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
WES
1 - 1
FMA
19%
23%
58%
|
60 | 12 | 48 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
OKS
1 - 1
FMA
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
FMA
0 - 0
OMA
18%
24%
58%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
FMA
1 - 1
TFC
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 7 | 52 | 0 |
Matches
Union Omaha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2025 |
NAP
3 - 1
OMA
21%
25%
54%
|
71 | 26 | 45 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
TFC
2 - 1
OMA
21%
24%
56%
|
70 | 9 | 61 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
OMA
2 - 2
PHP
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 18 | 52 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2025 |
STC
2 - 0
OMA
54%
23%
24%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
FMA
0 - 0
OMA
18%
24%
58%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |