USL League One Normal Season Round 16

Forward Madison vs Union Omaha analysis

Forward Madison Union Omaha
53 ELO 60
-12.6% Tilt -2.8%
2824º General ELO ranking 1195º
58º Country ELO ranking 30º
ELO win probability
28.3%
Forward Madison
26.6%
Draw
45%
Union Omaha

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.4%
Win probability
Forward Madison
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
45%
Win probability
Union Omaha
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Forward Madison
-6%
-7%
Union Omaha

ELO progression

Forward Madison
Union Omaha
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Forward Madison
Forward Madison
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Jul. 2022
FMA
Forward Madison
2 - 0
Tormenta
TOR
46%
27%
28%
52 51 1 0
06 Jul. 2022
NCO
Northern Colorado
1 - 2
Forward Madison
FMA
49%
25%
26%
51 53 2 +1
27 Jun. 2022
CHA
Charlotte Independence
6 - 2
Forward Madison
FMA
50%
25%
26%
53 53 0 -2
24 Jun. 2022
FMA
Forward Madison
2 - 1
Richmond Kickers
RIC
39%
28%
34%
52 54 2 +1
20 Jun. 2022
TOR
Tormenta
2 - 2
Forward Madison
FMA
38%
27%
35%
52 50 2 0

Matches

Union Omaha
Union Omaha
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Jul. 2022
GTR
Greenville Triumph
0 - 0
Union Omaha
OMA
35%
29%
37%
61 58 3 0
17 Jul. 2022
OMA
Union Omaha
2 - 1
Tucson
TUC
60%
23%
17%
60 49 11 +1
10 Jul. 2022
CAR
North Carolina
1 - 1
Union Omaha
OMA
25%
24%
50%
61 47 14 -1
02 Jul. 2022
OMA
Union Omaha
0 - 0
Charlotte Independence
CHA
52%
26%
22%
61 54 7 0
26 Jun. 2022
TOR
Tormenta
2 - 3
Union Omaha
OMA
24%
25%
51%
61 50 11 0