Forward Madison vs FC Naples analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
18.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+2196%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
5º
12º
9º
32
1º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
34 | 52 |
1º
|
39% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 50 |
2º
|
24% | |
|
1º
|
35 | 50 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 48 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 45 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
|
3º
|
32 | 44 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 43 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 41 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
|
11º
|
18 | 39 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 35 |
10º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 33 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 31 |
12º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 29 |
13º
|
31.5% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 27 |
14º
|
45% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
39% | 90.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
61% | 9.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forward Madison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
FMA
2 - 2
OKS
44%
29%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2025 |
CRW
2 - 1
FMA
30%
25%
45%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
FMA
0 - 0
AVA
56%
25%
19%
|
61 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2025 |
FMA
1 - 0
TOR
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2025 |
FMA
1 - 1
CHA
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC Naples
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
NAP
2 - 1
TFC
76%
14%
10%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2025 |
NAP
2 - 1
TOR
22%
22%
55%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | +4 |
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
RIC
1 - 2
NAP
71%
18%
12%
|
29 | 51 | 22 | +2 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
AVA
1 - 1
NAP
60%
19%
21%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
NAP
2 - 1
WES
81%
12%
7%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | 0 |