Fortuna Sittard vs RKC Waalwijk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
31.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
5º
13º
12º
28
13º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 91 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 82 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 67 |
3º
|
83.5% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 65 |
4º
|
83.5% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 56 |
5º
|
90% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 53 |
6º
|
65% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 52 |
7º
|
64% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 46 |
8º
|
57.5% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 46 |
9º
|
57.5% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 40 |
10º
|
62.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
|
11º
|
36 | 37 |
12º
|
28% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 36 |
13º
|
37.5% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 35 |
14º
|
54.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
28 | 29 |
15º
|
80.5% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 27 |
16º
|
80.5% | |
|
18º
|
2 | 21 |
17º
|
72% | |
|
17º
|
19 | 20 |
18º
|
73% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 81.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 18.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
FOR
3 - 1
VIT
28%
26%
46%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
SCH
3 - 0
FOR
54%
24%
21%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
FOR
4 - 1
HER
27%
25%
48%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ZWO
2 - 0
FOR
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
SPA
0 - 1
FOR
11%
17%
72%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
RKC Waalwijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
RKC
2 - 3
AJA
15%
20%
65%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
RKC
2 - 2
EXC
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
ZWO
1 - 2
RKC
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
RKC
0 - 1
GAE
30%
26%
45%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
RKC
1 - 2
FEY
13%
19%
69%
|
68 | 89 | 21 | 0 |