Fortuna Sittard vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
36.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 2
VVV
37%
24%
39%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
RKC
1 - 2
FOR
26%
24%
49%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 2
AJA
9%
15%
77%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2021 |
NEC
3 - 2
FOR
39%
24%
38%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
ZWO
0 - 2
FOR
46%
24%
30%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
HER
1 - 0
GRO
37%
26%
38%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
ZWO
2 - 2
HER
39%
25%
36%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
HER
1 - 0
SCH
36%
24%
40%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
FEY
3 - 2
HER
67%
20%
14%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
UTR
2 - 0
HER
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |