Fortuna Sittard vs HFC Haarlem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
55.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2006 |
FOR
0 - 1
HEL
32%
25%
43%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2006 |
TEL
0 - 3
FOR
69%
20%
12%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | +2 |
| 08 Dec. 2006 |
FOR
1 - 2
FCO
40%
24%
36%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2006 |
BVV
1 - 1
FOR
74%
17%
9%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2006 |
FOR
2 - 1
APE
26%
25%
49%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | +2 |
Matches
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2006 |
HFC
2 - 0
BVV
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2006 |
HEL
1 - 0
HFC
34%
25%
41%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
HFC
1 - 0
TEL
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2006 |
ZWO
2 - 0
HFC
38%
26%
36%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -2 |
| 24 Nov. 2006 |
HFC
2 - 1
FCO
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | +1 |