Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
73.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
HEL
0 - 5
FOR
15%
18%
66%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
FOR
4 - 4
WIL
34%
25%
40%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
NAC
2 - 3
FOR
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
FOR
1 - 1
UTR
24%
24%
52%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
ADO
3 - 1
FOR
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
TEW
0 - 7
AJA
4%
10%
87%
|
87 | 21 | 66 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
PSV
3 - 0
AJA
47%
24%
29%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
AJA
3 - 0
AEK
60%
23%
17%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
AJA
3 - 0
GRO
74%
16%
10%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
VIT
0 - 4
AJA
23%
22%
55%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | +1 |