Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
65.1%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1982 |
GAE
1 - 2
FOR
63%
20%
16%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1982 |
FOR
1 - 1
GRO
49%
24%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1982 |
FOR
3 - 2
HEL
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1982 |
FEY
4 - 1
FOR
85%
10%
5%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1982 |
FOR
1 - 2
UTR
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1982 |
AJA
5 - 0
HEL
95%
4%
1%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1982 |
FEY
2 - 2
AJA
49%
23%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1982 |
AJA
3 - 1
UTR
86%
10%
5%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1982 |
WIL
0 - 3
AJA
15%
21%
64%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1982 |
AJA
2 - 0
AZA
60%
19%
21%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |