Fortuna Köln vs Wattenscheid 09 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
21.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
FCU
2 - 0
KÖL
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2001 |
KÖL
3 - 0
LUN
73%
17%
10%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2001 |
LUB
0 - 2
KÖL
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2001 |
KÖL
1 - 2
KFC
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2001 |
VER
0 - 1
KÖL
34%
25%
40%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Wattenscheid 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2001 |
LUN
3 - 3
WAT
29%
25%
46%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2001 |
WAT
3 - 2
ERZ
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2001 |
SAC
1 - 0
WAT
34%
26%
41%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2001 |
WAT
2 - 1
TEN
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2001 |
WAT
2 - 2
FCU
35%
28%
37%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |