Fortuna Köln vs VfB Oldenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1991 |
FCR
1 - 1
KÖL
39%
26%
35%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1991 |
KÖL
2 - 1
BWB
47%
26%
28%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1991 |
KÖL
5 - 3
ROS
22%
23%
55%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 1991 |
OSN
4 - 1
KÖL
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1991 |
KÖL
1 - 2
KFC
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
VfB Oldenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1991 |
VFB
4 - 1
EBT
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1991 |
HER
1 - 0
VFB
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1991 |
VFB
3 - 3
MEP
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1991 |
STP
3 - 1
VFB
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1991 |
VFB
3 - 2
HAN
43%
25%
31%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |