Fortuna Köln vs Velbert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
8.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+104%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
WHE
3 - 0
KÖL
37%
25%
39%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
KÖL
1 - 3
WAT
74%
17%
10%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
KÖL
3 - 0
GEW
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
SPE
2 - 0
KÖL
20%
23%
58%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
AAA
1 - 1
KÖL
37%
24%
38%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2010 |
ABI
2 - 1
VEL
73%
17%
10%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
VEL
3 - 1
SPO
42%
24%
34%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
SWE
3 - 0
VEL
72%
18%
10%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
VEL
0 - 2
ESS
44%
23%
32%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -2 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
KLE
1 - 0
VEL
66%
19%
15%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +1 |