Fortuna Köln vs Schwarz-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
14%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1975 |
LEV
0 - 0
KÖL
16%
23%
61%
|
72 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1975 |
KÖL
2 - 1
STP
47%
24%
29%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 1975 |
KÖL
6 - 1
BER
85%
10%
6%
|
70 | 42 | 28 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 1975 |
ISC
1 - 0
KÖL
35%
26%
39%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1975 |
KÖL
1 - 0
HAN
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1975 |
SWE
2 - 0
DJK
56%
23%
22%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1975 |
WAT
3 - 0
SWE
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1975 |
SWE
2 - 1
KFC
51%
23%
27%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +2 |
| 15 Jun. 1975 |
SWE
4 - 1
OSN
33%
26%
42%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 1975 |
PRE
4 - 2
SWE
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |