Fortuna Köln vs SC Freiburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1986 |
EBT
2 - 0
KÖL
56%
22%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1986 |
KÖL
0 - 2
DAR
51%
22%
28%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1986 |
KÖL
1 - 1
WAT
53%
23%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1986 |
SCF
1 - 2
KÖL
55%
21%
24%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1986 |
STP
3 - 2
KÖL
52%
24%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1986 |
SCF
1 - 2
HES
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1986 |
ULM
0 - 0
SCF
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1986 |
SCF
1 - 2
KÖL
55%
21%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1986 |
SCF
2 - 1
ROT
49%
24%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1986 |
SVS
3 - 0
SCF
67%
19%
14%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |