Fortuna Köln vs Karlsruher SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
21.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1984 |
SCF
0 - 0
KÖL
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1984 |
KÖL
1 - 1
MSV
66%
19%
15%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1984 |
HAN
1 - 1
KÖL
45%
24%
31%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1984 |
KÖL
3 - 1
HER
57%
21%
22%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1984 |
OSN
0 - 4
KÖL
35%
26%
40%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Karlsruher SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1984 |
MSV
2 - 1
KSC
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1984 |
KSC
1 - 0
AAA
62%
21%
17%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1984 |
WAT
2 - 3
KSC
40%
25%
36%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1984 |
DAR
1 - 3
KSC
49%
23%
28%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1984 |
KSC
2 - 1
SCF
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |