Regionalliga North Round 18

Fortuna Köln vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis

Fortuna Köln Fortuna Düsseldorf
65 ELO 56
0.7% Tilt 5.4%
2462º General ELO ranking 160º
109º Country ELO ranking 20º
ELO win probability
63%
Fortuna Köln
21.5%
Draw
15.5%
Fortuna Düsseldorf

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
Fortuna Köln
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.5%
Win probability
Fortuna Düsseldorf
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fortuna Köln
-4%
-8%
Fortuna Düsseldorf

ELO progression

Fortuna Köln
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fortuna Köln
Fortuna Köln
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Nov. 2000
PRE
Preußen Münster
1 - 2
Fortuna Köln
KÖL
35%
26%
39%
65 58 7 0
10 Nov. 2000
KÖL
Fortuna Köln
1 - 3
SV Babelsberg 03
BAB
58%
24%
18%
66 61 5 -1
28 Oct. 2000
ERZ
Erzgebirge Aue
2 - 1
Fortuna Köln
KÖL
33%
27%
40%
67 59 8 -1
21 Oct. 2000
KÖL
Fortuna Köln
2 - 0
Sachsen Leipzig
SAC
66%
21%
14%
66 55 11 +1
14 Oct. 2000
TEN
Tennis Borussia
0 - 1
Fortuna Köln
KÖL
53%
24%
24%
66 68 2 0

Matches

Fortuna Düsseldorf
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Nov. 2000
F95
Fortuna Düsseldorf
4 - 1
Erzgebirge Aue
ERZ
43%
26%
31%
55 59 4 0
11 Nov. 2000
SAC
Sachsen Leipzig
5 - 1
Fortuna Düsseldorf
F95
46%
26%
28%
57 55 2 -2
03 Nov. 2000
F95
Fortuna Düsseldorf
3 - 0
Tennis Borussia
TEN
29%
27%
44%
55 65 10 +2
28 Oct. 2000
EBT
Eintracht Braunschweig
2 - 1
Fortuna Düsseldorf
F95
62%
22%
17%
56 59 3 -1
20 Oct. 2000
F95
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1 - 2
Wattenscheid 09
WAT
35%
26%
39%
56 62 6 0