Fortuna Köln vs SpVgg Erkenschwick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.8%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
4.9%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1975 |
KÖL
0 - 0
SCJ
88%
8%
4%
|
73 | 42 | 31 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1975 |
WOL
1 - 5
KÖL
32%
26%
42%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1975 |
KÖL
1 - 1
OSN
62%
21%
17%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1975 |
PRE
2 - 3
KÖL
39%
26%
35%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1975 |
KÖL
1 - 0
ROT
63%
21%
17%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1975 |
ERK
0 - 1
HAN
24%
28%
49%
|
54 | 79 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1975 |
ARB
2 - 3
ERK
72%
19%
10%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
ERK
2 - 2
WAB
30%
25%
45%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1975 |
KFC
2 - 0
ERK
82%
13%
6%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1975 |
ERK
1 - 2
FCM
54%
22%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |