Fortuna Köln vs SV Elversberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
DIE
0 - 0
KÖL
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
KÖL
3 - 1
MAI
40%
26%
35%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 2
KÖL
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
KÖL
1 - 1
BOR
24%
23%
53%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
S04
1 - 2
KÖL
50%
25%
25%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
SV Elversberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
ELV
2 - 2
FOR
38%
27%
36%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
BOR
5 - 0
ELV
62%
22%
17%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
ELV
2 - 0
S04
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
IDA
1 - 0
ELV
31%
26%
43%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
ELV
0 - 0
WIE
49%
26%
25%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |